What all the fuss is about in Canadian politics

The graph above shows three events. The first is the popular vote for parties in the 2004 Federal election resulting in a Liberal minority government (red). The second event shows the same statistics for the 2006 Federal election which resulted in a Conservative minority.

The third point shows the average of the three most recent polls that I have which show how Canadians might vote today (subject, of course, to sampling error in the range of +/- 3%).

The dramatic rise of the Green Party is almost without precedence in Canadian history. 200% growth in a little over a year. If the support grows by 200% again in the next year, that will be over 40%, which would mean that the Green Party would win almost every seat in Parliament.

It will be interesting to see how this develops.